Assessing Climate Resilience in Ecologically Vulnerable Areas in Ilaro, Ogun State
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Abstract
Despite growing evidence of climate-related risks in Ilaro, Ogun State, Nigeria, there is limited localized research on how ecologically vulnerable communities cope with these challenges. This study, deploying both survey and GIS approaches, evaluated the climate resilience of ecologically vulnerable parts of Ilaro in Ogun State, Nigeria, and proposes locally tailored strategies to support sustainable development and strengthen community capacity to adapt. Using the Cochran formula, with a 6% margin of error and 95% confidence level, the total sample size calculated from the total population of buildings (15,933) identified within the ecologically disadvantaged areas was 263. Random sampling was employed with the use of a random table, involving a selection process that systematically checked the table either row by row, column by column, or diagonally to identify numbers within the range of 1 to 15,933. The study, among others, adopted logistic regression analysis to validate the fact that residents’ vulnerability to climate hazards is significantly influenced by socio-economic and ecological factors. It canvassed an integrated approach, combining individual capabilities, ecological health, and institutional support, towards enhanced resilience and adaptive capacity.
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